In analyzing gun control, you have to really think about what a candidate can do, and would do.
Does anyone here buy imported rifles? Remember the arbitrary import bans? Remember the ban on barrels and receivers the day Gore was given the Democratic nomination for President? Remember the NICS shutdown on the weekend of the million mom march?
If two white people are shot, and it makes national news, a Democrat will call for federal gun laws, and squeeze us anywhere he can arbitrarily (as in import procedures of ATF, or maybe squeezing FFLs out of business). Anyone see any of this happening under Bush?
Anyone remember the 9/11 attacks? Who was the biggest threat to national security during Klint's watch? Gun nuts, home schoolers, southern baptists. . . . I still remember Democrats calling for more gun control in response to 9/11, and you can bet there'd be a squeeze under a Democratic administration. Heck, they were trying to use 9/11 to repeal any sembleance of privacy on NICS checks, and tried to get hunting season banned in several states (people running around with guns hides terrorists). A "temporary emergency" import ban of ammo would not have been a hard sell for a president who wanted to go the extra distance to shaft gunowners.
I don't believe Bush's TALK on guns, and I don't believe Dean's TALK on guns. I believe ACTIONS, not every day; but on the day of a mass shooting. It would not have been hard for Bush to get some gun control; but he didn't even whimper about it.
I question Dean on guns. . . . that a marxist will tell me I don't have a right to my own property. . . . oh, except guns.
Whether it's knowing who his core support is or genuine belief, Bush is, effectively, pro-gun. Someone can shoot up a school and he won't go on TV calling gun owners murderers. I don't consider Dean a man of principle - he'll go with the wind - he's pro-gun because he wants southern pickup truck owners and to win them over to professional voting - fine. But his core support wouldn't be so kind if he didn't push for some "sensible gun control" in response to an unrelated terrorist attack.
The AWB going away is not contingent on Bush opposing it. It is contingent on Bush not leaning on Delay and another Republican or two on the committee. Somehow, I don't see Bush running a full page ad bullying Delay into supporting the AWB, or going on TV and doing same. Do you?