I would not buy that either for a bunch of reasons.I don't buy the "staged" idea at all. I think it's VERY easy to say that it wasn't. My reasoning is very straightforward and it applies to the vast bulk of other similar alleged conspiracies:
Even the majority of nutjobs, if approached & asked to SPEND THEIR LIVES IN PRISON or be EXECUTED would refuse outright AND possibly report the offer to police.
Or you'd have to create a cult type group over an extended time, and deal with all the risks & problems associated with that.
NOPE.WAY too complicated, risky, & problematic. Not buying it.