1911Forum banner

1 - 20 of 527 Posts

·
Registered
Joined
·
3,504 Posts
Discussion Starter #1
This is about the coronavirus NOT SOME STUPID ZOMBIE CRAP. Now that we got that out of the way.

I work in Oxford OH home to Miami U that has about 3k asian students. Two are currently in isolation pending test results from the cdc. While there is not chaos there is definatly some mild panic going on. Lots of mask wearing and a few in hazmat suits. I have seen this with my own eyes and the pictures online are real. 2 of my part timers are students and I have seen their personal cell phone pics as well.

The media is blowing this thing up and I think multiplying the panic. Yesterday I was eating lunch at taco bell and as I was leaving 3 asian students wearing surgical masks came in. Everyone cleared out asap. My sister in-law works at the university and they are getting non stop calls from parents.

So I guess what I'm asking is does anyone have any preps for something like this? Do you just hunker down until it passes?
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
202 Posts
Finally our asian friends have all the more reasons to be wearing them masks. I found that mildly irritating over the years when they wear masks on regular flights, in airports and everywhere, now I may get one myself if they are not all sold out anyway.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
825 Posts
This will put a real hurt on asian restaurants fast. Even if this virus is controlled and a vaccine is developed, it will take enough time to impact the world economy negatively.

The Chinese are going to take a hard hit from this, their economy will take a nosedive in short order.
 

·
Premium Member
Joined
·
8,711 Posts
...Yesterday I was eating lunch at taco bell and as I was leaving 3 asian students wearing surgical masks came in. Everyone cleared out asap. My sister in-law works at the university and they are getting non stop calls from parents. ...
Everyone, especially Amazon.com has sold out of N95 face masks.

One more item to add to your bug-out bag list for the day the SHTF for when this blows over.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
1,760 Posts
"Everything is cool" does not sell newspapers. (And I have had a couple of NIOSH respirators and N-95 masks in my bug-out bag for years.
 

·
Premium Member
Joined
·
12,928 Posts
Well...I am ahead of the curve because I take chemo pills every day. Warnings on the pill-bottle label as well as from my doctor "keep away from sick people!" - and they are not just talking about Adam Scifft and other Demorcpas. LOL

So I have kept a nice cache of N95 masks for years which I use extensively when I go into public (tight spaces, like doctor's-offices, grocery-stores, etc) during flue season.

Any mask works to some degree, but for viruses (like flues), N95 is the gold standard.

So yes, N95 Mask are the real deal, I have been using them with great effect for almost 10 years during flue season. Even if you have nothing that compromises your immune system, all Good-Preppers should have a cache of them.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
22,877 Posts
Well we dug out a big trench in the back pasture with the back hoe.

And we have laid in a bunch of fifty lb bags of Lime. Currently we are waiting to see if they are going to sink that passenger ship with six thousand passengers quarantined on board. That should tell you something.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
1,024 Posts
Chinese stock market is already starting to drop. Reports are half of all the Starbucks (not that I care) in China are closed. China is shutting down their steel production, and China makes about 30% of the smaller parts and subassemblies for automakers. So, even if it does not become a pandemic, if it goes on too long there may be long term financial impact.
My plan is sheltering in place. Hard to get exposed to something if you don't move around. However, as a JIC(Just In Case) I got a box of 10 N95 masks from Home Depot and some latril gloves yesterday. I also have a N95 Respirator for serious situations.
I'm not expecting a real serious problem. But, it's better to have and not need, rather than need and not have.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
8,187 Posts
Just eat lotsa kimchee. That'll protect you. And keep other people away. :D

I better dig the jar out of the fridge and have some with supper tonight. Korean anti-virus.
 

·
Administrator
Joined
·
71,901 Posts
The media is blowing this thing up and I think multiplying the panic.
What, the news media blowing things out of proportion??? Say it ain't so!

The common flu still kills far more people annually than this or any other "super bug" outbreak ever has.

You are still far more likely to be killed by a drunk driver than get sick and die of this thing.

You also are far more likely to be killed by said drunk than be shot by a lunatic with an assault rifle, but hey, drunk drivers don't make headlines like nuts with AR-15s do.

Having said all that, I do find it rather pathetic that in this newly enlightened, progressively liberal, "diversified" society of ours Asians are still being stereotyped and picked on. So what if you see an Asian girl wearing a mask? She's just being smart and considerate. Your real enemy is what old white guy standing nearby coughing, sneezing and gagging right out into the open. :mad:
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
703 Posts
The media is blowing this thing up and I think multiplying the panic.
What, the news media blowing things out of proportion??? Say it ain't so!

The common flu still kills far more people annually than this or any other "super bug" outbreak ever has.

You are still far more likely to be killed by a drunk driver than get sick and die of this thing.

You also are far more likely to be killed by said drunk than be shot by a lunatic with an assault rifle, but hey, drunk drivers don't make headlines like nuts with AR-15s do.

Having said all that, I do find it rather pathetic that in this newly enlightened, progressively liberal, "diversified" society of ours Asians are still being stereotyped and picked on. So what if you see an Asian girl wearing a mask? She's just being smart and considerate. Your real enemy is what old white guy standing nearby coughing, sneezing and gagging right out into the open.
‘Cough, couch, amen’.

Driving to the store to get said mask is more dangerous.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
3,504 Posts
Discussion Starter #14
What, the news media blowing things out of proportion??? Say it ain't so!

The common flu still kills far more people annually than this or any other "super bug" outbreak ever has.

You are still far more likely to be killed by a drunk driver than get sick and die of this thing.

You also are far more likely to be killed by said drunk than be shot by a lunatic with an assault rifle, but hey, drunk drivers don't make headlines like nuts with AR-15s do.

Having said all that, I do find it rather pathetic that in this newly enlightened, progressively liberal, "diversified" society of ours Asians are still being stereotyped and picked on. So what if you see an Asian girl wearing a mask? She's just being smart and considerate. Your real enemy is what old white guy standing nearby coughing, sneezing and gagging right out into the open. :mad:
Miami U is definetly progressive liberal. They took the day off when hillary lost and had counselors on hand. To see these same people now shunning fellow students because they are chinese is f upped. Guess they don't practice what they preach.

As of now we are still waiting for the cdc to release the test results. If they are positive then the poop will hit the fan.
 

·
Administrator
Joined
·
71,901 Posts
Miami U is definetly progressive liberal. They took the day off when hillary lost and had counselors on hand. To see these same people now shunning fellow students because they are chinese is f upped. Guess they don't practice what they preach.
The Democrats and wealthy liberal elites are not reliable allies of minorities in this country no matter what they say. They are merely using them for their own ends, trying to get their support so as to unseat conservatives from power everywhere, and will sell them down the river if it becomes necessary. Unfortunately these minorities will find out too late when they see this so-called land of opportunity seriously degraded by the left's selfish and destructive socialist agenda.

BTW there have been several reports of Asians being treated like they're germ-laden parasites here in Seattle as well. Yes, the leftist-progressive capital of the NW treating them like it's a new wave of 1800's xenophobia.
 

·
Administrator
Joined
·
71,901 Posts
Anyway, to answer your original question about prepping... the same answers apply no matter what plague is sweeping the nation and world. Keep away from the public as best you can, wash your hands often, use anti-bacterial soap and never go outdoors on a chilly day without a coat. Personally I think face masks are just morale-boosters and the equivalent of using a can of pepper spray to defend yourself... you think it will do some good but it really won't.
 

·
Premium Member
Joined
·
2,082 Posts
So I guess what I'm asking is does anyone have any preps for something like this? Do you just hunker down until it passes?

Unless you're immunocompromised/immunosuppressed (have AIDS, cancer, diabetes, suffer from malnutrition or certain genetic disorders, receiving anticancer drugs, radiation therapy, or had stem cell or organ transplant)...or are generally ALREADY in poor health (COPD, Emphysema, etc) DONT SWEAT IT. Your immune system will take care of you and you'll just have "the flu".

The folks dying from this had existing health issues, lived in squalor or were very old.

To reduce the chance of getting sick in general, load up on probiotics, Vitamin C and Vitamin D. If you're in public and hear someone coughing...walk away to at least 6 feet distance if you can!! If you have to travel on a commercial plane, try to get a window seat and keep your air vent on (yes, ON). Bring a pack of Lysol wipes and wipe down the tray table and armrests (sounds like overkill, but the virus can live on hard surfaces for 24-hours) Use paper towel to touch handles like the toilet flush handle, toilet seat and lavatory faucet handles.

Wash your hands a lot, keep hand sanitizer with you and use frequently after touching surfaces in public (door knobs, handrails, etc).
 

·
Premium Member
Joined
·
2,082 Posts
Oh yeah...and DONT drink Corona beer!!





Christ, the human population is just getting dumber and dumber.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
1,024 Posts
This is much misinformation and disinformation out there, and it is hard to figure out what to believe. That's not even beginning to count the conspiracy theories.
For days the Chinese have been saying that there appears to be evidence that someone who is asymptomatic(without symptoms) can be contagious. Yet the US CDC says that isn't so. Just yesterday an article appeared that stated Chinese authorities had found a 10 year old boy, who had an upper respiratory track infection, was outwardly asymptomatic, and was contagious. So, who does one believe?
The conspiracy theories revolve around this being a man made virus, and there appears to be some evidence of that. Apparently, part of the RNA chain is not normal looking. So, it is not known if it is just a normal "mutation", a recombination of RNA from two different animals(snake and bat), or man made. Then, if it was man made, was it a deliberate release, or an accident?
Many medical people feel as "Flight Medic" does, that is nothing but a "cold". Since I read the same thing on another form from a poster whose wife is an RN, with a Master's in Nursing. She, and all the medical people she works with want to know what the big deal is? It's just a cold.
Her husband, the poster, says, what bothers him is the Chinese response to this "cold". It's all out of proportion to it being "just a cold". It's mortality rate seems to be running at about 3%. Some variance, but 2.5-3%. I don't believe that colds kill that many people.
So, what does one believe? There's the old adage, of Hoping for the best, but preparing for the worst. I think that most of us here have some sort of disaster preps going on, which should keep most of us off the streets and out of contact with people should this turn nasty. However, it might be prudent to lay in a supply of cold and flu meds. If they don't get used now, I'm sure they will come in handy the next flu season.


Freely stolen from another forum.

https://systems.jhu.edu/research/pub...th/ncov-model/

“Our metapopulation model is based on a global network of local, city-level, populations connected by edges representing passenger air travel between cities. At each node of the network, we locally model outbreak dynamics using a discrete-time Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) compartmental model. IATA monthly passenger travel volumes for all travel routes connecting airport pairs (including stopovers) is used to construct the weighted edges. The SEIR parameters are defined based on a 10 day period from exposure to recovery, aligning with a previously published report, divided into a 5 day incubation and 5 day recovery period for the purposes of this analysis. The effective contact rate corresponds to a reproductive number of 2, which aligns with an estimate from Imperial College London, reporting a range between 1.5 and 3.5. We assume initial cases of 2019-nCoV are only present in Wuhan, and no border control is accounted for. The model results presented are based on an average of 250 runs.

Results

The simulation model is run for a time period between the start of the outbreak, up until January 25. The simulation results align with the number of air travel reported cases outside of mainland China early in the outbreak; specifically, we estimate 40 cases of 2019-nCoV to have been exported outside of mainland China by January 25, as was reported. For 40 cases to have been exported out of the country, we believe the number of 2019-nCoV cases in mainland China are likely much higher than that reported throughout January. Specifically, we estimate there to be around 20,000 cases of 2019-nCoV in mainland China on January 25 (at which time closer to 2000 were reported). We also estimate there were already hundreds of human cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan in early December. The estimated verses confirmed cases during January are presented in Figure 1. Our estimates are slightly higher than those from two other modeling exercises, namely, a report out of Imperial College estimated 4000 cases in mainland China on January 18, and a report out of Northeastern University estimated 12,700 on January 24. However, there was a substantial and rapid increase in reported cases outside of China during these dates, which is still occurring, and likely to lead to higher estimates than those in this study.”

Note: The first paragraph refers to a "reproductive value"(r-0) of 1.5 - 3.5. That is the number of people it assumes will be infected by a person. The lower the number, the fewer the number of people who will get infected, and the higher the number, the more people. Yet, I've seen r-0 values of 3.-5. But, that number was from Chinese sources, and with their living conditions and population, they may have a higher r-0 value than we would here.
So, again, what, or who, does one believe. I tend to go with many people. That we cannot believe the number China is releasing. They don't have a stellar track record for truthfulness. But, at the time, can the CDC be trusted? Since they will be into panic prevention.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
3,118 Posts
Corona beer?! Is this really "breaking news?"

I think this is a serious regional health risk that needs to be addressed properly before it gets widespread. I am not too worried about us here in the US...yet.
The seasonal flu is still a greater risk, but the media needs clicks/viewers. What concerns me is that the Chinese are so secretive & present a false front to the world.
 
1 - 20 of 527 Posts
Top